3 weeks in the past, we have been all questioning if Josh McDaniels would make it to December as head trainer of the Las Vegas Raiders. Their 2-7 document on the time introduced QB Derek Carr to tears, and there was once rarely any trust that the season was once salvageable. On the other hand, after hitting all-time low in an embarrassing loss to the Colts, the Raiders answered by way of ripping off 3 immediately victories. The Raiders’ resurgence began with consecutive time beyond regulation wins at the street in opposition to Denver and Seattle and carried over to final week’s 27-20 win over the Chargers.
You’ll level to operating again Josh Jacobs as a large explanation why for the Raiders’ turnaround. He has been the catalyst for the Raiders’ fresh good fortune, combining for 373 dashing yards during the last two video games. The ones are spectacular numbers, however they’re not going to be sustainable in opposition to probably the most league’s extra bold defenses. So can Carr shoulder the weight if Jacobs will get bogged down? Your solution will most probably decide how you might be making a bet Thursday evening’s recreation.
The Raiders are 6.5-point street favorites in opposition to a Rams crew in the course of a six-game dropping streak. This is why I’m laying the heavy street chalk with the Raiders, plus a couple of alternative ways to assault the sport.
Las Vegas Raiders (-6.5)
I might be very uncomfortable enjoying the Raiders on this spot in opposition to nearly every other crew, however I simply have the sensation that the Rams are utterly looked at. Claiming Baker Mayfield off waivers feels extra like a sign that they wish to the long run than an try to resurrect the season. Outdoor of motivation, this recreation comes all the way down to which crew can make the most of their warring parties’ suffering go protection. The Rams can decelerate Jacobs, however forcing the Raiders to assault them throughout the air would possibly not finish smartly.
Davante Adams is coming off an eight-reception, 177-yard efficiency during which he scored two touchdowns. The Carr-Adams connection has publish huge numbers all through the Raiders’ successful streak, they usually could possibly most sensible it final week in contrast Rams secondary. In line with Soccer Outsiders, Los Angeles permits extra yards according to recreation to their warring parties’ most sensible receiver than every other crew within the NFL. The Raiders’ offense may well be much more explosive with Jacobs getting a smaller workload, and that may most effective assist us quilt this quantity. A brief week with restricted preparation time is helping the extra proficient crew, and I’m making a bet each groups proceed to surge in reverse instructions.
Halftime/ultimate: Raiders/Raiders (-110)
Teasing down from 7 or 6.5 is at all times a viable choice if you end up at ease the crew will win however much less assured they are in a place to do it by way of a large margin. If you wish to break out from laying a large quantity with out depending on every other crew, parlaying the first-half moneyline with the whole recreation moneyline at -110 is a legitimate method to do it. The primary 1/2 is the Raiders’ upper scoring 1/2 by way of a small margin (1.7 issues according to recreation), they usually additionally moderate extra issues than the Rams (by way of 2.4 issues according to recreation) within the first 1/2. Upload in a motivational edge from the Raiders resurrected season, and it is exhausting to consider this being a flat spot for Las Vegas.
First 1/2: Each groups to attain 10 issues or extra (+190)
We now have two groups that moderate no less than 10 issues within the first 1/2 this season, and each have bottom-five secondaries. There’s a legit worry in regards to the uncertainty with the Rams’ quarterback place, however I’m prepared to gamble at this worth. The Rams hung 13 issues on Seattle ahead of halftime final week, and a crew with not anything to lose is most probably searching for large performs early to thieve momentum. This can be a cast play at +190 odds.
One-game parlay: +2200
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Raiders ML
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Davante Adams anytime TD
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Adams over 75 receiving yards
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Van Jefferson anytime TD
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Kyren Williams 17-plus receiving yards
We’re construction off the basis of the Rams slowing down Jacobs sufficient to pressure Carr to win the sport together with his arm. The combo of the Rams’ struggles to hide their opponent’s highest receiver and the space between Adams and the remainder of the wideouts makes him the very best participant to warrant our most important funding. Adams has no less than 74 yards in 5 immediately video games and has discovered the tip zone seven instances all through the similar duration.
The Raiders’ go protection is thirty first in EPA according to dropback allowed and useless final in masking operating backs out of the backfield. So we wrap up the monster parlay with two Rams offensive props from gamers who will most probably get pleasure from McVay attacking the susceptible spots in Las Vegas’ protection.
Stats equipped by way of Soccer Outsiders, rbsdm, and Staff Ratings.